EFFECT OF MACROECONOMIC VARIABLES ON STOCK MARKET
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.53555/bma.v1i4.1765Keywords:
Macroeconomic Variables , Stock MarketAbstract
The paper aims to study the effect of macroeconomic factors on the performance of the Indian Stock market Index (BSE: 500) using monthly and yearly data over the time frame of June 2003 to June 2016. The macroeconomic variables are; Inflation, exchange rate, Oil Prices, Gold Prices, Aggregated monsoon. The study also found the correlation between different macroeconomic variables using which they were fitted in the VAR regression model. The long term relation of the Indian stock market was studied with these macroeconomic parameters. The paper also looks at which variables are more significantly related to the Stock market in the long run the domestic macroeconomic variables or global. One of the most significant macroeconomic factor is Gold. Gold prices have an inverse relationship with the price of the dollar. Given the importance of Gold in the global economy, we have analyzed the close co relation between the gold prices and the stock market prices and the factors that have created such relations between gold and stock market.
Downloads
References
Agrawal & Srivastava (2011) Stock Market Returns and Exchange Rates Volatility: A GARCH Application. Research Journal of International Studies, 20, 12 – 23.
Agrawalla, R. K. & Tuteja, S. K. (2007) Causality Between Stock Market Development and Economic Growth: A Case Study of India. Journal of Management Research,7(3), 158-168.
Agrawalla R. K. & Tuteja S. K. (2008) Share Prices and Macroeconomic Variables in India - An Approach to Investigate the Relationship Between Stock Markets and Economic Growth. Journal of Management Research,8(3), 136 – 146.
Adebiyi, M.A., Adenuga, A.O., et al. (2009). Oil Price Shocks, Exchange Rate and Stock Market Behaviour: th Empirical Evidence from Nigeria. A Paper Presented at the 15 Annual African Econometric Society (AES): Conference on Econometric Modeling for Africaheld in Abuja. References 124 125 ISSN: 0971-1023 NMIMS Management Review Volume XXII August 2012 ISSN: 0971-1023 NMIMS Management Review Volume XXII August 2012 The effect of Macroeconomic Determinants on the Performance of the Indian Stock Market The effect of Macroeconomic Determinants on the Performance of the Indian Stock Market The effect of Macroeconomic Determinants on the Performance of the Indian Stock Market The effect of Macroeconomic Determinants on the Performance of the Indian Stock Market
Journal of Finance and Economics, 14.
Ali, I., Rehman, K. U. et al. (2010). Causal relationship between macro-economic indicators and stock exchange prices in Pakistan. African Journal of Business Management, 4(3), 312-319.
Engle, R. F. and Granger C. W. J. (1987), “Cointegration and Error-Correction: Representation, Estimation and Testing,” Econometrica,55, 251-276.
Frimpong, J. M. (2009). Economic Forces and the Stock Market in a Developing Economy: Cointegration Evidence from Ghana. European Journal of Economics, Finance and Administrative Sciences, 16. Ahmed, S. (2008). Aggregate Economic Variables and Stock Markets in India. International Research
Investors. International Conference on Modeling, Optimization and Computing. American Institute of Physics
Aydemir, O. &Demirhan, E. (2009).The Relationship between Stock Prices and Exchange Rates Evidence from Turkey. International Research Journal of Finance and Economics,23.
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2016 Green Publication
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.
All journals related to business, management, and accounting can be freely copied, circulated, and reprinted in Green Publication journals, as long as they are duly referenced by original authors. Green Publication follows CC licenses. “A Creative Commons (CC) license is one of the public copyright licenses that allows for the free reuse of an otherwise copyrighted "work." If an author wants to give others the right to publish, use, and build on a work created by the author, he may use a CC license. Green publication use the CC 4.0 license. This license allows anyone to write, remix, tweak, and build on your work, even commercially, as long as the original creation is attributed to you”. This is the most appropriate license available. Recommended for increasing the distribution and use of licensed products.